The estimation of adopted mortality and morbidity rates using model and the phase type law: the Turkish case

Akat F., Selcuk-Kestel A. S., TANK F.

COMMUNICATIONS IN STATISTICS-SIMULATION AND COMPUTATION, cilt.48, sa.9, ss.2552-2565, 2019 (SCI-Expanded) identifier identifier

  • Yayın Türü: Makale / Tam Makale
  • Cilt numarası: 48 Sayı: 9
  • Basım Tarihi: 2019
  • Doi Numarası: 10.1080/03610918.2018.1478098
  • Dergi Adı: COMMUNICATIONS IN STATISTICS-SIMULATION AND COMPUTATION
  • Derginin Tarandığı İndeksler: Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED), Scopus
  • Sayfa Sayıları: ss.2552-2565
  • Anahtar Kelimeler: IHD, Morbidity, Mortality, Phase type distributions, Three state process, Two state process, MARKOV-MODELS, DISTRIBUTIONS, PATIENT
  • Ankara Üniversitesi Adresli: Evet

Özet

This paper aims to estimate mortality rate, morbidity-mortality rates of a chronic disease utilizing phase type law in the frame of two and three state processes. The application on commonly used mortality tables in Turkey are adopted to process to estimate the future mortalities with respect to phase type distribution for the purpose of justifying. Using one absorbing state, two and three state Models calculate the time until absorbing of the death and death by phase type distribution for each gender. Consequently, the 3-state probabilities in estimating the mortality-morbidity rates of IHD for Turkish population yield a significant information on the health management and pricing health insurance products.