Analysis of the Tendency of Profit Rate to Fall and Counter Tendencies: Evidence from Turkish Manufacturing Sector, 1988-2020


Değirmenci E.

15th Annual Conference in Political Economy Immigration: Crisis of the World Capitalist System, Crisis for the World Capitalist System, Ankara, Türkiye, 17 - 20 Eylül 2025, (Yayınlanmadı)

  • Yayın Türü: Bildiri / Yayınlanmadı
  • Basıldığı Şehir: Ankara
  • Basıldığı Ülke: Türkiye
  • Ankara Üniversitesi Adresli: Evet

Özet

The law of tendency of the profit rate to fall (LTRPF) has been a highly debated area of research within Marxian Political Economy, as it highlights both to the capabilities  and inherent limitations of the capitalist system. Although there is a substantial literature focused on the behavior of the profit rate at both global and national levels, research on the dynamic relationship between the tendency of the profit rate to fall and the counter tendencies remains underdeveloped (with Basu and Manolakos (2012) and Maniatis and Passas (2015) being exceptions). This study evaluates the trend of profit rate in the Turkish manufacturing sector, spanning the period between 1988-2020, replicating the methodology introduced by Basu and Manolakos (2012). While the 2000s witnessed a significant decline in the profit rate,  the evidence presented in the study reveals a weak rising trend in the general rate of profit over the entire period, which is mainly attributed to the reduction of real wages below the value of labor power and the rise in the intensification of exploitation, which can be referred as the increase in absolute surplus value. Considering that the LTRPF appears in the long run, the study seeks to identify the underlying factors cause profit rate rising temporarily.