Government budget deficits, defence expenditure and income distribution: The case of Turkey


Oezsoy O.

DEFENCE AND PEACE ECONOMICS, vol.19, no.1, pp.61-75, 2008 (SSCI) identifier identifier

  • Publication Type: Article / Article
  • Volume: 19 Issue: 1
  • Publication Date: 2008
  • Doi Number: 10.1080/10242690701347689
  • Journal Name: DEFENCE AND PEACE ECONOMICS
  • Journal Indexes: Social Sciences Citation Index (SSCI), Scopus
  • Page Numbers: pp.61-75
  • Keywords: budget deficits, defence expenditure, income transfers, VAR models, impulse response functions, PRIVATE-SECTOR BEHAVIOR, STATISTICAL-ANALYSIS, MILITARY BURDEN, DEBT, COINTEGRATION, EDUCATION, LIFE
  • Ankara University Affiliated: No

Abstract

This paper analyzes the relationship between government budget deficits, defence expenditure and income redistribution among different social-income groups in Turkey for the period 1965-2003. The analysis was based on a five-equation vector auto regressive (VAR) model and impulse response functions (IRFs) derived from the VAR model. The study finds that the deficit as a percentage of GNP has a negative and significant impact on transfer payments as a percentage of GNP. The IRFs indicate that shocks to deficit expenditures as a percentage of GNP (DEFGNP) have statistically significant impacts on defence spending as a percentage of GNP (DSGNP), educational expenditures as a percentage of GNP (EDGNP), health expenditures as a percentage of GNP (HEGNP), and transfer payments as a percentage of GNP (TPGNP). The results derived from this study also indicate that there is a positive and significant relationship between defence spending as a percentage of GNP and deficits as a percentage of GNP. Therefore, defence spending is viewed as a tool for transferring income among different social-income groups and across generations in Turkey for the period 1965-2004. As a result of this, the government can use deficit and defence spending as one of the major instruments to transfer income among different social-income groups and across generations in Turkey.