AN ECONOMETRIC APPROACH TO TOURISM DEMAND: EVIDENCE FROM TURKEY

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Atıf İçin Kopyala

Yilmaz M., Buyum B.

COMMUNICATIONS FACULTY OF SCIENCES UNIVERSITY OF ANKARA-SERIES A1 MATHEMATICS AND STATISTICS, cilt.64, sa.2, ss.99-109, 2015 (ESCI)

• Yayın Türü: Makale / Tam Makale
• Cilt numarası: 64 Sayı: 2
• Basım Tarihi: 2015
• Doi Numarası: 10.1501/commua1_0000000737
• Dergi Adı: COMMUNICATIONS FACULTY OF SCIENCES UNIVERSITY OF ANKARA-SERIES A1 MATHEMATICS AND STATISTICS
• Derginin Tarandığı İndeksler: Emerging Sources Citation Index (ESCI), TR DİZİN (ULAKBİM)
• Sayfa Sayıları: ss.99-109
• Anahtar Kelimeler: Tourism demand, tourism demand modelling, forecasting, inverse models, time series models, exponential smoothing models
• Ankara Üniversitesi Adresli: Evet

Özet

This study focuses on modelling tourism demand with using number of tourists who came to Turkey between the years 1966-2012 (47 years and bed numbers belonging to accommodation facilities with tourism operation licensed. The number of tourists and beds have only been reached dealing with the years 1966-2012. Except from these variables, many variables such as states investment incentives on tourism, tourism revenues, the annual average temperature, the parity of foreign currency like Euro, dollar and power of purchasing in the country could be taken into account. The aim of this paper is to create a forecasting model about the number of coming tourists and to provide prior information for tourism policies by regarding introduced models. In this sense, forecasting of international tourist arrivals for 2013-2020 is purposed.