Predicting down syndrome: a comparative evaluation of nasal bone length in mid-trimester pregnancy


Koçar M., Süt H., Ümit C., Şeker E., AYNAOĞLU YILDIZ G.

BMC Pregnancy and Childbirth, cilt.26, sa.1, 2026 (SCI-Expanded, Scopus) identifier identifier

  • Yayın Türü: Makale / Tam Makale
  • Cilt numarası: 26 Sayı: 1
  • Basım Tarihi: 2026
  • Doi Numarası: 10.1186/s12884-026-08918-4
  • Dergi Adı: BMC Pregnancy and Childbirth
  • Derginin Tarandığı İndeksler: Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED), Scopus, CINAHL, EMBASE, MEDLINE, Directory of Open Access Journals
  • Anahtar Kelimeler: Absent nasal bone, Down Syndrome, Likelihood ratio, Prenatal diagnosis, Second trimester, Sensitivity and specificity
  • Ankara Üniversitesi Adresli: Evet

Özet

Background: This study aimed to evaluate the diagnostic performance of fetal nasal bone length (NBL), the biparietal diameter to nasal bone length ratio (BPD/NBL), and nasal bone length multiples of the median (NBL-MoM) values for Down syndrome (DS) screening between 17 and 25 weeks of gestation in a population-specific cohort. Methods: A retrospective analysis was conducted on fetuses between 17 and 25 gestational weeks. Normative data for NBL and NBL-MoM were generated using gestational age–specific reference medians, and regression equations were established. The NBL, BPD/NBL ratio, and NBL-MoM values were compared between DS and euploid groups. NBL-MoM values were calculated using raw (non-transformed) measurements divided by the expected gestational age–specific median, and euploid status was confirmed by normal postnatal outcomes. Sensitivity, specificity, and likelihood ratios were calculated for various cutoff points. Results: NBL showed a significant linear correlation with gestational week (R² = 0.31, p < 0.001), while BPD/NBL was independent of gestational age. In DS cases, absence of the nasal bone was observed in 40% of fetuses, compared to 0.03% in controls (sensitivity: 40%, specificity: 100%, LR⁺: 1228). An NBL < 2.5 mm yielded a sensitivity of 49% and specificity of 99.9% (LR⁺: 746). Using the 5th percentile as a cutoff, sensitivity and specificity reached 86% and 98.9%, respectively (LR⁺: 75, LR⁻: 0.15). ABPD/NBL ratio ≥ 9 yielded 93% sensitivity and 97.5% specificity (LR⁺: 37). NBL-MoM values < 0.65 yielded 97% sensitivity and 98% specificity. Conclusion: Our findings support the use of population-specific reference ranges for fetal NBL, BPD/NBL ratio, and NBL-MoM values in the second trimester to improve the screening accuracy for Down syndrome. These sonographic markers—particularly NBL < 5th percentile, BPD/NBL ≥ 9, and NBL-MoM < 0.65—may provide valuable, non-invasive indicators to support clinical assessment. Trial registration: This study was retrospectively registered and authorized by the local Ethics Committee of Ankara University (approval number: 2025/696; date: 03 September 2025).