Domestic Tractor Market Share Estimation by Time Series Analysis Method

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Hamleci B., Güner M.

JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES-TARIM BILIMLERI DERGISI, vol.26, no.4, pp.507-523, 2020 (SCI-Expanded) identifier identifier

  • Publication Type: Article / Article
  • Volume: 26 Issue: 4
  • Publication Date: 2020
  • Doi Number: 10.15832/ankutbd.497236
  • Journal Name: JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES-TARIM BILIMLERI DERGISI
  • Journal Indexes: Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED), Scopus, Academic Search Premier, CAB Abstracts, Food Science & Technology Abstracts, Veterinary Science Database, TR DİZİN (ULAKBİM)
  • Page Numbers: pp.507-523
  • Keywords: Box-Jenkins, Tractor market share estimation, Time series analysis, Forecast, DEMAND
  • Ankara University Affiliated: Yes

Abstract

This study is aimed to examine the domestic tractor market share with time series analysis to forecast the future probabilities with the help of the models which are created according to the Box-Jenkins method. The study was planned for year 2010, based on 5 different domestic tractor brands which are separately estimated for the domestic tractor market and included the total tractor numbers. It has been observed that the projected value of tractor companies whose market shares are estimated by time series analysis and the total tractor number are very close to their actual values.