Domestic Tractor Market Share Estimation by Time Series Analysis Method

Creative Commons License

Hamleci B., Güner M.

JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES-TARIM BILIMLERI DERGISI, cilt.26, sa.4, ss.507-523, 2020 (SCI-Expanded) identifier identifier

  • Yayın Türü: Makale / Tam Makale
  • Cilt numarası: 26 Sayı: 4
  • Basım Tarihi: 2020
  • Doi Numarası: 10.15832/ankutbd.497236
  • Dergi Adı: JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES-TARIM BILIMLERI DERGISI
  • Derginin Tarandığı İndeksler: Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED), Scopus, Academic Search Premier, CAB Abstracts, Food Science & Technology Abstracts, Veterinary Science Database, TR DİZİN (ULAKBİM)
  • Sayfa Sayıları: ss.507-523
  • Anahtar Kelimeler: Box-Jenkins, Tractor market share estimation, Time series analysis, Forecast, DEMAND
  • Ankara Üniversitesi Adresli: Evet

Özet

This study is aimed to examine the domestic tractor market share with time series analysis to forecast the future probabilities with the help of the models which are created according to the Box-Jenkins method. The study was planned for year 2010, based on 5 different domestic tractor brands which are separately estimated for the domestic tractor market and included the total tractor numbers. It has been observed that the projected value of tractor companies whose market shares are estimated by time series analysis and the total tractor number are very close to their actual values.