ECONOMIC ASSESSMENT OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON TURKISH AGRICULTURE

DELLAL İ., McCarl B. A., Butt T.

JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AND ECOLOGY, cilt.12, sa.1, ss.376-385, 2011 (SCI-Expanded) identifier identifier

  • Yayın Türü: Makale / Tam Makale
  • Cilt numarası: 12 Sayı: 1
  • Basım Tarihi: 2011
  • Dergi Adı: JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AND ECOLOGY
  • Derginin Tarandığı İndeksler: Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED), Scopus
  • Sayfa Sayıları: ss.376-385
  • Anahtar Kelimeler: climate change, agricultural sector model, IMPACTS, EQUILIBRIUM
  • Ankara Üniversitesi Adresli: Evet

Özet

This study considers the crop production and economic implications of projected climate change on Turkish agricultural sector. The analysis is carried out using a paired biophysical and economic analysis focusing on five major crops in Turkey including, wheat, barley, corn, sunflower, and cotton. Results show that under climate change, crop yield changes are negatively affected by 3.8 to 10.1%. Economically total welfare decreases with producers welfare increasing and consumers being the losers. The total annual economic loss is $0.1 million, with producers gaining $0.1 million and consumers losing $0.2 million.